Sep

30

Roulette Winning Strategy - Don’t Use Martingale

Filed Under Gambling |

All of us gamblers would love a guaranteed roulette winning strategy and these are spread all over the internet. Often they’ll come in expensive ebooks or reports but just as likely in a simple web page leading to a casino. In my experience in most instance these secret strategies are almost always based on the Martingale system.

The Martingale system was first used by gamblers in 18th Century France and in fact there are many variances. The simplest one though I’m sure you will have come across before. The idea is best explained by a toss of the coin - you bet on heads initially and if you lose you continue to back ‘heads’ but double your stake each time. This in theory would eventually lead to a win and a recover of all the previous stakes. In practice it usually leads to very large losses as the stake exponentially rises.

The Martingale system is actually loosely based on a mathematical misunderstanding called the “Gamblers Fallacy” which basically concludes that past variations can affect future results. Or in English if heads has come up 10 times in a row - the next toss is more likely to come up tails - of course this is not true as the previous ten results have no bearing on the next toss at all. Even if the ball on a casino wheel landed in red 100 times - the odds are still 50/50 (minus the 0 or house edge) on the next spin.

Even if you believe in the martingale system or some of it’s strange variants - it would be difficult to apply nowadays as even if you could afford it most casinos have limits on each bet which would prevent it. Most casinos have never actively deterred using Martingale though simply because they don’t lose by it. Each roulette winning strategy should be studied in the cold light of statistics before you spend any money on it.

Of course statistics can only really be applied to the above situations where an event is truly random - the spin of a roulette wheel has so many outside factors affecting it that it extremely close to being completely random. An online roulette wheel is a different matter though as the spin is controlled by a computer.

Computers have always had a problem generating random numbers purely because they are programmed and so are always following deterministic code. All online casinos are run via computer algorithms and therefore are only as random as the underlying software.
I have been recently testing a computer program which predicts the most likely winning bets on online roulette. It’s looking like developing in to a rather useful roulette winning strategy or at the minimum an extra income for me.

If you are interested in makine some money from online roulette it may be worth check out here. Read about it here - Roulette Killer

All the best
John


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2 Comments so far

  1. best online casino click me on September 30, 2008 11:52 pm

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  2. A on October 3, 2008 3:47 pm

    This method does has its advantages when one takes into accout the ability of a player to play several tables at once on the floor and watch the previous roll tickers, waiting for a stack of “reds” to happen (say 4) and THEN start with the double-down method.